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Flurry Smartphone Industry Pulse, June 2009

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The data in this report is computed from a sample size of 200 applications, 25 million consumers and four platforms: Apple (iPhone and iPod Touch), Blackberry, JavaME and Google Android.

Google Android: Maintaining Market Share

When Flurry released its March 2009 Pulse, we declared iPhone the undisputed winner, leading by a wide margin over Google Android in all key categories: number of developers, applications and consumers. Since then, the number of developers, applications and consumers in Flurry's network has grown by more than three times. Revisiting market share, we find that Android has maintained its percentage share over this rapid period of growth. While the iPhone still dominates the application market, Google Android has managed to prevent Apple from widening the gap. With 1) reports that roughly 20 more Android handsets will ship during 2009, 2) continued application saturation in the App Store making it harder for developers to compete for consumer downloads and 3) the relative ease required to develop for Android versus iPhone, Google appears well positioned to chip away at iPhone's dominant position.

Flurry Analytics - Developer by Platform

Flurry Analytics - Applications by Platform

Flurry Analytics - Consumers by Platform

For Blackberry and JavaME, however, our sample shows that Apple continues to cannibalize those platforms.

App User Retention: Android Users More Loyal than iPhone Users

Comparing a group of applications available on both iPhone and Android, we found that Android consumers use their applications longer. To measure this, we tracked the percent of users who still use an application after downloading it over different periods of time. Across all time periods, Android users continue to use their applications longer. For the longest period of time measured, 90 days, the proportion of Android to iPhone usage was approximately 50% greater. Please see the specific figures in the graph below.

Flurry Analytics - iPhone vs Android Retention

One reason we believe retention rates vary is that Android offers far fewer applications compared to iPhone. With applications coming out on iPhone at a faster rate, iPhone users move onto other apps more quickly. For Android users, they make more use of what's available, with less temptation to move to the next application. Other factors that could also play a role:

  • The Android base tends to be "older," have less time and interest to try new applications. Once they find an application they like, they stick with it.
  • The Android base is more tolerant, tend to be more tech savvy and find ways to appreciate what they have, even if their applications aren't perfect.

Regardless of the underlying drivers it's clear that at the current volume of available Android apps, usage is stickier.

App Usage Frequency: Android Usage Heavier than iPhone Usage

Further studying our set of applications with both iPhone and Android versions, Android consumers used their applications significantly more frequently than their iPhone counterparts. 37% of iPhone consumers who downloaded applications used those applications fewer than 5 times per month ("superlight users") with Android having only 11% in the superlight usage category. Toward the other end of the spectrum, 35% percent of Android users can be defined as "heavy users," using applications more than 50 times per month, compared to only 15% on the iPhone.

Flurry Analytics - iPhone vs Android Usage Frequency

We believe differences in frequency of use are driven by the same underlying factors affecting length of use; namely, fewer available applications for Android and different behaviors exhibited by an older, more tech savvy user base. Overall this creates opportunities for Android application developers who are seeing saturation in the iPhone App store. Finally, a lot will hinge on the Android Market becoming a better shopping experience as well as the need for better design of upcoming Android OEM handsets than the existing HTC G1.

Comments

It would be interesting to know how big your samples sizes are for each platform. 
When you have 200 apps and 3% are blackberry, then you have 6 apps for blackberry?
Posted @ Thursday, July 02, 2009 2:44 AM by Mariano Kamp
Hi Mariano - there are thousands of live applications with our service. I can't give more specific numbers than that, but it's quite a bit higher than the example you suggest.
Posted @ Thursday, July 02, 2009 2:53 AM by Peter Farago
These results really don't tell much as they are focused on niche platforms. Symbian has a 40% market share in smartphone platforms (by Nov 2008, http://www.gartner.com/it/page.jsp?id=910112) and it is systematically left out of the results. 
 
Sure, Android and iPhone are gaining market share but pages like this lose all credibility due to not having real perspective whatsoever (apparently it is enough to just go along with the hype wagon).  
 
The fact that the market shares in US are what they are due to protectionism maintained by operators who won't allow "foreign" platforms to compete with US platforms doesn't mean Symbian is not the king of platforms and this isn't really changed a lot even though a few million of people download funny "omg hey look how the graphical objects move on the screen when I turn the screen 90 degrees!!1" applications. 
 
Sorry if this turned out a bit flamey :D
Posted @ Thursday, July 02, 2009 11:14 PM by Keijo
Hi Keijo -  
 
Thanks for sharing your opinions, though as you describe it does come off as a bit "flamey." However, I want to address some of your arguments, which you made with some passion.  
 
Regarding your comment that "these results don't tell much," we believe they faithfully reflect the pulse of the development community during 2009; namely, that most development effort has been on iPhone this year, followed by Android. 
 
Your Gartner reference showing Nokia's market share is slightly dated (came out in late 2008), but a good source nonetheless. Looking at it, it already shows Symbian in severe market share decline last year. We at Flurry are fans of Nokia, and as a company have several years experience developing in J2ME for Nokia handsets. Also, we have considered supporting Symbian many times with Flurry Analytics, and it will likely be one of the next platforms we roll out. However, our base of developers continues to signal that they are more interested in other platforms.
Posted @ Saturday, July 04, 2009 3:23 AM by Peter Farago
I love this comment: "The Android base is more tolerant, tend to be more tech savvy and find ways to appreciate what they have, even if their applications aren't perfect." Hmm, so Android users suffer along with imperfect apps, as compared to the lucky, lucky iPhone users, who have perfection at their fingertips? I love it when my friends shows me all these new, neat things they can do on their iPhones -- that they can FINALLY do on the iPhone, that I've been doing on my G1 for quite a while...Still trying to figure out something I'd want to do with my phone, but can't, while iPhone users can...?
Posted @ Monday, July 13, 2009 9:33 AM by kerri
Was wondering, have you ever published any reports indicating the top US markets for smart phones, most usage per capita? 
 
Thanks,  
Rys
Posted @ Thursday, November 05, 2009 5:11 PM by Rys
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